Misleading Graphs
Learn to spot graphs that trick the eye: truncated axes, stretched scales, uneven intervals, oversized pictures and pie charts that do not add up to 100%.
Definition
- Truncated axis: the vertical axis does not start at 0, so small differences look huge
- Stretched or squashed scale: the same change looks steep or flat depending on how far apart the axis numbers are
- Uneven intervals: the steps on an axis are not equal (for example 2000, 2010, 2020, 2022), so slopes cannot be compared
- Picture and 3D graphs: an icon that is twice as tall *and* twice as wide has 4 times the area
- Broken pie charts: the slices must add up to exactly 100%
- Cherry-picked time range: only the part of the data that supports a claim is shown
- Missing labels: no title, no units or no scale, so you cannot check anything
Worked Examples
Find the drawn heights above the start of the axis
Compare the drawn heights
Compare the real values
Write the real difference as a percent
Answer: Bar A looks more than twice as tall, but Juice A got only about 8.3% more votes than Juice B. Compare the two bar graphs above: with the axis starting at 45, bar A towers over bar B; with the axis from 0, the bars are almost the same height.
Common Mistakes
Judging the size of a difference by the bar heights alone
Why it's wrong: If the axis starts at 45 instead of 0, the bars show only the part above 45. A bar for 52 then looks more than twice as tall as a bar for 48.
Correct: Always look at where the axis starts. Compare the real values: , only about 8% more.
Dividing by the new value when computing percent change
Why it's wrong: Percent change always compares with the starting point. From 1000 to 1050, dividing by 1050 gives about 4.8%, which is not the change.
Correct: Divide the change by the old value: .
Thinking a steep line always means a big change
Why it's wrong: How steep a line looks depends on the scale. A stretched axis makes 5% look like a rocket, and a squashed axis makes 25% look flat (see the rent graph above, whose axis goes up to 10000).
Correct: Read the numbers at the start and the end of the line and compute the change yourself.
Comparing picture or 3D graphs by height only
Why it's wrong: Our eyes judge the area (or the volume) of a picture. An icon twice as tall and twice as wide has 4 times the area; a 3D box with every edge doubled has 8 times the volume.
Correct: Compare the numbers the pictures stand for, not the size of the pictures.
Interactive Visual
Bar Chart
Fair bar graph (axis from 0): 52 vs 48 votes
Bar Chart
Same votes, axis starts at 45: bar A looks over twice as tall
Line Chart
Website visitors per day: axis starts at 980
Line Chart
Same data: axis starts at 0
Line Chart
Monthly rent, squashed scale: axis from 0 to 10000
Line Chart
Uneven years, equal spacing (thousand inhabitants)
Pie Chart
Sports we play (more than one answer): labels add up to 135%
Interactive Sandbox
Expression Calculator
Try these:
History
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Practice Problems
18 problemsWhy It Matters
- Adverts: a battery that lasts 21 hours instead of 20 can be drawn as a bar twice as tall
- News and politics: a poll lead of 2 points can be made to look like a landslide
- Money: an investment fund can show only its two best years and hide five bad ones
- Science and health: a stretched axis can make a tiny effect look dramatic, or a squashed one can hide a real problem
Real World Applications
Adverts and Product Claims
Adverts often use bar graphs with a truncated axis to make a small advantage look huge.
Example:
A battery advert shows 21 hours for its battery and 20 hours for a rival. With the axis starting at 19, the bars are drawn 2 and 1 units tall, so one bar looks twice as long.
Battery A lasts 21 hours and battery B lasts 20 hours. The advert's bar graph starts its axis at 19.
By what percent does battery A really last longer than battery B?
Step 1: Write the mathematical expression
Compute the percent: change divided by the value of B, times 100
Investment Funds and Cherry-Picked Time Ranges
A fund can make itself look good by showing only the years when its price went up.
Example:
A fund price was 80 in 2019 and fell to 50 in 2022, then rose to 60 in 2024. The advert shows only 2022 to 2024: "up 20%!"
The fund price was 80 at the start of 2019 and 60 at the end of 2024. The advert shows only the last two years, when the price rose from 50 to 60.
What is the real percent change over the whole time, from 80 to 60?
Step 1: Write the mathematical expression
Compute: (new - old) / old × 100
Infographics With Pictures
News infographics often show amounts as pictures (bags, coins, people) and scale the pictures in both directions.
Example:
A school collected 2 tons of paper for recycling last year and 3 tons this year. The infographic makes the second paper bag 1.5 times as tall and 1.5 times as wide.
The amount grew from 2 tons to 3 tons, so the real ratio is 1.5. The picture of this year's bag is 1.5 times as tall and 1.5 times as wide.
How many times bigger is the area of the new bag picture?
Step 1: Write the mathematical expression
Multiply the two scale factors:
Key Takeaways
- 1A misleading graph can show true numbers and still give a false impression
- 2Always check where the vertical axis starts: an axis that does not start at 0 makes small differences look big
- 3Stretched or squashed scales change how steep a line looks, so read the numbers instead of the slope
- 4Check that the steps on each axis are equal, and that the time range is not cherry-picked
- 5Pictures that grow in two directions exaggerate: double height and width means 4 times the area
- 6Pie chart slices must add up to 100%; compute the real change with
Frequently Asked Questions
Glossary
- Misleading graph
- A graph that gives a wrong impression of the data, even if the numbers on it are true
- Truncated axis
- An axis that does not start at 0, so only the top part of each value is drawn
- Scale
- The numbers on an axis and the distance between them; it decides how big a change looks
- Interval
- The step between two neighbouring numbers on an axis; a fair axis uses equal intervals
- Percent change
- The change divided by the starting value, times 100%
- Cherry-picking
- Showing only the part of the data that supports a claim and hiding the rest
Formula Card
Percent change
The real size of a change, whatever the graph looks like
How tall bars look on a truncated axis
Bars for values a and b on an axis starting at s
Picture scaled by k in both directions
Twice as tall and twice as wide: 4 times the area; in 3D the volume is multiplied by $k^3$